Canopy reflectance informs in‐season malting barley nitrogen management: An ex‐ante classification approach

Malting barley (Hordeum vulgare) requires precise nitrogen (N) fertilizer management to achieve a narrow range of grain protein content (∼9–10.5%) while maintaining yields, but practical tools to accomplish this are lacking. This study hypothesized that canopy reflectance (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)) measured at tillering (Feekes 2–3) and expressed as a sufficiency index (SI), can estimate the likelihood of a site‐specific response to in‐season N fertilizer in malting barley. Canopy reflectance was measured from plots at tillering with a GreenSeeker and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) borne multispectral cameras in trials across heterogeneous California agroecosystems. Field experiments included a range of N fertilizer application rates (0–168 kg N ha−1) and timings (pre‐plant, tillering, or evenly split), and resulted in a range of crop N sufficiency/deficiency. NDVI‐based SI measurements were categorized into one of three quantitative categories (low, medium, and high) without additional experimental context using Gaussian mixture modeling. Despite that 85% of variation in protein yield was due to site‐year, the reflectance‐based categories indicated whether N fertilizer applied in‐season would increase protein yield (p