Knockout mouse models are predictive of malformations or embryo-fetal death in drug safety evaluations

•KO mice are predictive of malformations and embryo-fetal lethality in EFD studies.•Negative predictive values were increased for biologics compared to small molecules.•High concordance provides support for WOE approaches for developmental toxicity risk. Traditionally, understanding potential developmental toxicity from pharmaceutical exposures has been based on the results of ICH guideline studies in two species. However, support is growing for the use of weight of evidence approaches when communicating the risk of developmental toxicity, where the intended pharmacologic mode of action affects fundamental pathways in developmental biology or phenotypic data from genetically modified animals may increasingly be included in the overall assessment. Since some concern surrounds the use of data from knockout (KO) mice to accurately predict the risk for pharmaceutical modulation of a target, a deeper understanding of the relevance and predictivity of adverse developmental effects in KO mice for pharmacological target modulation is needed. To this end, we compared the results of embryo-fetal development (EFD) studies for 86 drugs approved by the FDA from 2017 to 2019 that also had KO mouse data available in the public domain. These comparisons demonstrate that data from KO mouse models are overall highly predictive of malformations or embryo-fetal lethality (MEFL) from EFD studies, but less so of a negative outcome in EFD studies. This information supports the use of embryo-fetal toxicity data in KO models as part of weight of evidence approaches in the communication of developmental toxicity risk of pharmaceutical compounds.