深化教育改革中的决策风险防控

China’s social transformation and national reform and development have entered a high-risk stage. Education reform is facing series of risks such as retrogressing "progress", widened gaps in education, social instability, failure of pilot reforms, and Tacitus trap. Risk-based decision making is becoming the new norms of educational reform decisions. The ignorance and fearlessness of risks and incompetence to deal with risks are the “three difficulties” in risk-based decision making. The main sources of risks in decision making are technical risks, institutional risks, and systematic risks. In addition, the “three-difficulties” is also related to decision-makers’ judgment on the costs, benefits, and risks to the society and themselves. This paper proposes four ways to strengthen the system of risk prevention and control in educational decision-making process: (1) enacting rules and regulations of risk prevention at national and local level; (2) establishing a culture towards positive risk management; (3) promo