Variable flight initiation distance in incubating Eurasian curlew

Flight initiation distances (FIDs) of nesting birds approached by a predator likely reflect evolutionary stable strategies in which birds make trade-offs between adult survival and reproductive success. Here, we test if FID (a) had an impact on hatching success, (b) was adjusted to current conditions, and (c) was consistent for individual nests. All experiments were performed with a human approaching incubating Eurasian curlews Numenius arquata, a ground-nesting wader species under high egg predation pressure. Our results show that hatching success was higher in nests where the incubating parent left at intermediate FIDs compared to short and long ones, and that FID decreased with date and time of the evening. Further, FIDs from repeated approaches were not consistent within nests. We suggest that incubating Eurasian curlews follow a "surprise" strategy, where an element of randomness is superimposed on a context-adjusted norm to prevent predators from predicting their FID behaviour.