Cumulants of Hawkes point processes

We derive explicit, closed-form expressions for the cumulant densities of a multivariate, self-exciting Hawkes point process, generalizing a result of Hawkes in his earlier work on the covariance density and Bartlett spectrum of such processes. To do this, we represent the Hawkes process in terms of...

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Veröffentlicht in:Physical review. E 2015-04, Vol.91 (4), p.042802-042802, Article 042802
Hauptverfasser: Jovanović, Stojan, Hertz, John, Rotter, Stefan
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:We derive explicit, closed-form expressions for the cumulant densities of a multivariate, self-exciting Hawkes point process, generalizing a result of Hawkes in his earlier work on the covariance density and Bartlett spectrum of such processes. To do this, we represent the Hawkes process in terms of a Poisson cluster process and show how the cumulant density formulas can be derived by enumerating all possible "family trees," representing complex interactions between point events. We also consider the problem of computing the integrated cumulants, characterizing the average measure of correlated activity between events of different types, and derive the relevant equations.
ISSN:1539-3755
1550-2376
2470-0045
2470-0053
1550-2376
DOI:10.1103/PhysRevE.91.042802