Medicine of the future: How and who is going to treat us?

Medicine’s ability to quickly respond to challenges raises questions from researchers, practitioners, and society as a whole. Our task in this study was to identify key and atypical current factors influencing the development of medicine and to predict the development of medicine in the short, mediu...

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Veröffentlicht in:Futures : the journal of policy, planning and futures studies planning and futures studies, 2023-02, Vol.146, p.103097, Article 103097
Hauptverfasser: Kulkova, Julia, Kulkov, Ignat, Rohrbeck, Rene, Lu, Shasha, Khwaja, Ahmed, Karjaluoto, Heikki, Mero, Joel
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Medicine’s ability to quickly respond to challenges raises questions from researchers, practitioners, and society as a whole. Our task in this study was to identify key and atypical current factors influencing the development of medicine and to predict the development of medicine in the short, medium, and long term. To implement our study, we selected 22 medical experts and applied the three-level Delphi method. The current trends caused by COVID-19 have a short-term impact, but they will launch other drivers that will transform the healthcare industry. Well-being technologies, data-informed personalization, and climate change will become key drivers for the development of medicine over the period of 1–50 years. Expert opinion is divided about the future of mass availability of advanced medical treatment and sustainable development of healthcare. •Fighting with stress, biohacking, and medical tourism are current atypical trends in medicine.•Well-being technologies (value-based healthcare, smart delivery, and telemedicine) will influence medicine in the short term.•Data-informed personalization (smart hospitals and wearable devices) will have an impact in the short and medium term.•Climate change (climate migrants and low-carbon healthcare) will form trends in the medium and long term.•Sustainability in healthcare is an underestimated development factor.
ISSN:0016-3287
1873-6378
1873-6378
DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2023.103097