Multispectral Remote Sensing and Deep Learning for Wildfire Detection

Remote sensing data has great potential for wildfire detection and monitoring with enhanced spatial resolution and temporal coverage. Earth Observation satellites have been employed to systematically monitor fire activity over large regions in two ways: (i) to detect the location of actively burning spots (during the fire event), and (ii) to map the spatial extent of the burned scars (during or after the event). Active fire detection plays an important role in wildfire early warning systems. The open-access of Sentinel-2 multispectral data at 20-m resolution offers an opportunity to evaluate its complementary role to the coarse indication in the hotspots provided by MODIS-like polar-orbiting and GOES-like geostationary systems. In addition, accurate and timely mapping of burned areas is needed for damage assessment. Recent advances in deep learning (DL) provides the researcher with automatic, accurate, and bias-free large-scale mapping options for burned area mapping using uni-temporal multispectral imagery. Therefore, the objective of this thesis is to evaluate multispectral remote sensing data (in particular Sentinel-2) for wildfire detection, including active fire detection using a multi-criteria approach and burned area detection using DL models. For active fire detection, a multi-criteria approach based on the reflectance of B4, B11, and B12 of Sentinel-2 MSI data is developed for several representative fire-prone biomes to extract unambiguous active fire pixels. The adaptive thresholds for each biome are statistically determined from 11 million Sentinel-2 observations samples acquired over summertime (June 2019 to September 2019) across 14 regions or countries. The primary criterion is derived from 3 sigma prediction interval of OLS regression of observation samples for each biome. More specific criteria based on B11 and B12 are further introduced to reduce the omission errors (OE) and commission errors (CE). The multi-criteria approach proves to be effective in cool smoldering fire detection in study areas with tropical & subtropical grasslands, savannas & shrublands using the primary criterion. At the same time, additional criteria that thresholds the reflectance of B11 and B12 can effectively decrease the CE caused by extremely bright flames around the hot cores in testing sites with Mediterranean forests, woodlands & scrub. The other criterion based on reflectance ratio between B12 and B11 also avoids the effects of CE c