Follow-Up Experimental Designs for Computer Models and Physical Processes

In many branches of physical science, when the complex physical phenomena are either too expensive or too time consuming to observe, deterministic computer codes are often used to simulate these processes Nonetheless, true physical processes are also observed in some disciplines. It is preferred to...

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Veröffentlicht in:Journal of statistical theory and practice 2011-03, Vol.5 (1), p.119-136
Hauptverfasser: Ranjan, Pritam, Lu, Wilson, Bingham, Derek, Reese, Shane, Williams, Brian J., Chou, Chuan-Chih, Doss, Forrest, Grosskopf, Michael, Holloway, James Paul
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:In many branches of physical science, when the complex physical phenomena are either too expensive or too time consuming to observe, deterministic computer codes are often used to simulate these processes Nonetheless, true physical processes are also observed in some disciplines. It is preferred to integrate both the true physical process and the computer model data for better understanding of the underlying phenomena. In this paper, we develop a methodology for selecting optimal follow-up designs based on integrated mean squared error that help us capture and reduce prediction uncertainty as much as possible. We also compare the efficiency of the optimal designs with the intuitive choices for the follow-up computer and field trials.
ISSN:1559-8608
1559-8616
DOI:10.1080/15598608.2011.10412055