Verification of BMKG early warning related to flood disaster in South Kalimantan
Flood disaster is still one of the common problems that often occurs in Indonesia, generally occurs in areas with denser populations such as urban areas. The risk caused by a disaster can be minimized by having an early warning system. This study aims to verify the early warnings issued by the Meteo...
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Tagungsbericht |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
| Tags: |
Tag hinzufügen
Keine Tags, Fügen Sie den ersten Tag hinzu!
|
| container_end_page | |
|---|---|
| container_issue | 1 |
| container_start_page | |
| container_title | |
| container_volume | 2774 |
| creator | Febrianti, Aini Suci Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah |
| description | Flood disaster is still one of the common problems that often occurs in Indonesia, generally occurs in areas with denser populations such as urban areas. The risk caused by a disaster can be minimized by having an early warning system. This study aims to verify the early warnings issued by the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) related to floods that occurred in South Kalimantan. To verify a prediction, in this study the Peirce Skill Score (PSS) method was used by looking at weather parameters such as precipitation and wind speed. The result from 6 research areas for 29 observational days show the PSS ± ePSS value was 0.2054 ± 0.1153 and the PSSr ± ePSSr value was 0 ± 0.1164. Moreover, the PSS ± ePSS value is 0.3077 ± 0.1223 and the value of PSSr ± ePSSr is 0 ± 0.1245 for precipitation. It means that the early warning issued by BMKG has resulted in too many false alarms, where BMKG predicts extreme weather will occur but in reality extreme weather does not occur. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1063/5.0164647 |
| format | Conference Proceeding |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_scita</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_scitation_primary_10_1063_5_0164647</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>3098898497</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-p637-a8701d0d9c9de55e8505ea1a0792a12182eed7c1939b95132c0f093091e89bc33</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNotkE9LwzAYxoMoOKcHv0HAm9D5vk3TJEcdOmUTBYd4C1mTakZtZpIh-_ZW5-m5_Hj-EXKOMEGo2RWfANZVXYkDMkLOsRA11odkBKCqoqzY2zE5SWkNUCoh5Ig8v7roW9-Y7ENPQ0tvHucz6kzsdvTbxN737zS6zmRnaQ607UKw1PpkUnaR-p6-hG3-oHPT-U_TZ9OfkqPWdMmd_euYLO9ul9P7YvE0e5heL4pNzURhpAC0YFWjrOPcSQ7cGTQgVGmwRFk6Z0WDiqmV4sjKBlpQDBQ6qVYNY2NysbfdxPC1dSnrddjGfkjUAyWlkpUSA3W5p1Lj899EvYlD0bjTCPr3MM31_2HsBz5TW8s</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>conference_proceeding</recordtype><pqid>3098898497</pqid></control><display><type>conference_proceeding</type><title>Verification of BMKG early warning related to flood disaster in South Kalimantan</title><source>AIP Journals Complete</source><creator>Febrianti, Aini Suci ; Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin ; Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah</creator><contributor>Taba, Paulina ; Ribal, Agustinus ; Tahir, Dahlang</contributor><creatorcontrib>Febrianti, Aini Suci ; Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin ; Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah ; Taba, Paulina ; Ribal, Agustinus ; Tahir, Dahlang</creatorcontrib><description>Flood disaster is still one of the common problems that often occurs in Indonesia, generally occurs in areas with denser populations such as urban areas. The risk caused by a disaster can be minimized by having an early warning system. This study aims to verify the early warnings issued by the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) related to floods that occurred in South Kalimantan. To verify a prediction, in this study the Peirce Skill Score (PSS) method was used by looking at weather parameters such as precipitation and wind speed. The result from 6 research areas for 29 observational days show the PSS ± ePSS value was 0.2054 ± 0.1153 and the PSSr ± ePSSr value was 0 ± 0.1164. Moreover, the PSS ± ePSS value is 0.3077 ± 0.1223 and the value of PSSr ± ePSSr is 0 ± 0.1245 for precipitation. It means that the early warning issued by BMKG has resulted in too many false alarms, where BMKG predicts extreme weather will occur but in reality extreme weather does not occur.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0094-243X</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1551-7616</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1063/5.0164647</identifier><identifier>CODEN: APCPCS</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Melville: American Institute of Physics</publisher><subject>Climatology ; Disasters ; Early warning systems ; Emergency communications systems ; Emergency warning programs ; Extreme values ; False alarms ; Flood predictions ; Geophysics ; Precipitation ; Weather ; Wind speed</subject><ispartof>AIP Conference Proceedings, 2024, Vol.2774 (1)</ispartof><rights>Author(s)</rights><rights>2024 Author(s). Published by AIP Publishing.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://pubs.aip.org/acp/article-lookup/doi/10.1063/5.0164647$$EHTML$$P50$$Gscitation$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>309,310,314,780,784,789,790,794,4512,23930,23931,25140,27924,27925,76384</link.rule.ids></links><search><contributor>Taba, Paulina</contributor><contributor>Ribal, Agustinus</contributor><contributor>Tahir, Dahlang</contributor><creatorcontrib>Febrianti, Aini Suci</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah</creatorcontrib><title>Verification of BMKG early warning related to flood disaster in South Kalimantan</title><title>AIP Conference Proceedings</title><description>Flood disaster is still one of the common problems that often occurs in Indonesia, generally occurs in areas with denser populations such as urban areas. The risk caused by a disaster can be minimized by having an early warning system. This study aims to verify the early warnings issued by the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) related to floods that occurred in South Kalimantan. To verify a prediction, in this study the Peirce Skill Score (PSS) method was used by looking at weather parameters such as precipitation and wind speed. The result from 6 research areas for 29 observational days show the PSS ± ePSS value was 0.2054 ± 0.1153 and the PSSr ± ePSSr value was 0 ± 0.1164. Moreover, the PSS ± ePSS value is 0.3077 ± 0.1223 and the value of PSSr ± ePSSr is 0 ± 0.1245 for precipitation. It means that the early warning issued by BMKG has resulted in too many false alarms, where BMKG predicts extreme weather will occur but in reality extreme weather does not occur.</description><subject>Climatology</subject><subject>Disasters</subject><subject>Early warning systems</subject><subject>Emergency communications systems</subject><subject>Emergency warning programs</subject><subject>Extreme values</subject><subject>False alarms</subject><subject>Flood predictions</subject><subject>Geophysics</subject><subject>Precipitation</subject><subject>Weather</subject><subject>Wind speed</subject><issn>0094-243X</issn><issn>1551-7616</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>conference_proceeding</rsrctype><creationdate>2024</creationdate><recordtype>conference_proceeding</recordtype><recordid>eNotkE9LwzAYxoMoOKcHv0HAm9D5vk3TJEcdOmUTBYd4C1mTakZtZpIh-_ZW5-m5_Hj-EXKOMEGo2RWfANZVXYkDMkLOsRA11odkBKCqoqzY2zE5SWkNUCoh5Ig8v7roW9-Y7ENPQ0tvHucz6kzsdvTbxN737zS6zmRnaQ607UKw1PpkUnaR-p6-hG3-oHPT-U_TZ9OfkqPWdMmd_euYLO9ul9P7YvE0e5heL4pNzURhpAC0YFWjrOPcSQ7cGTQgVGmwRFk6Z0WDiqmV4sjKBlpQDBQ6qVYNY2NysbfdxPC1dSnrddjGfkjUAyWlkpUSA3W5p1Lj899EvYlD0bjTCPr3MM31_2HsBz5TW8s</recordid><startdate>20240830</startdate><enddate>20240830</enddate><creator>Febrianti, Aini Suci</creator><creator>Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin</creator><creator>Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah</creator><general>American Institute of Physics</general><scope>8FD</scope><scope>H8D</scope><scope>L7M</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20240830</creationdate><title>Verification of BMKG early warning related to flood disaster in South Kalimantan</title><author>Febrianti, Aini Suci ; Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin ; Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-p637-a8701d0d9c9de55e8505ea1a0792a12182eed7c1939b95132c0f093091e89bc33</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>conference_proceedings</rsrctype><prefilter>conference_proceedings</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2024</creationdate><topic>Climatology</topic><topic>Disasters</topic><topic>Early warning systems</topic><topic>Emergency communications systems</topic><topic>Emergency warning programs</topic><topic>Extreme values</topic><topic>False alarms</topic><topic>Flood predictions</topic><topic>Geophysics</topic><topic>Precipitation</topic><topic>Weather</topic><topic>Wind speed</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Febrianti, Aini Suci</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah</creatorcontrib><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Aerospace Database</collection><collection>Advanced Technologies Database with Aerospace</collection></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Febrianti, Aini Suci</au><au>Hasanuddin, Hasanuddin</au><au>Syahruddin, Muhammad Hamzah</au><au>Taba, Paulina</au><au>Ribal, Agustinus</au><au>Tahir, Dahlang</au><format>book</format><genre>proceeding</genre><ristype>CONF</ristype><atitle>Verification of BMKG early warning related to flood disaster in South Kalimantan</atitle><btitle>AIP Conference Proceedings</btitle><date>2024-08-30</date><risdate>2024</risdate><volume>2774</volume><issue>1</issue><issn>0094-243X</issn><eissn>1551-7616</eissn><coden>APCPCS</coden><abstract>Flood disaster is still one of the common problems that often occurs in Indonesia, generally occurs in areas with denser populations such as urban areas. The risk caused by a disaster can be minimized by having an early warning system. This study aims to verify the early warnings issued by the Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) related to floods that occurred in South Kalimantan. To verify a prediction, in this study the Peirce Skill Score (PSS) method was used by looking at weather parameters such as precipitation and wind speed. The result from 6 research areas for 29 observational days show the PSS ± ePSS value was 0.2054 ± 0.1153 and the PSSr ± ePSSr value was 0 ± 0.1164. Moreover, the PSS ± ePSS value is 0.3077 ± 0.1223 and the value of PSSr ± ePSSr is 0 ± 0.1245 for precipitation. It means that the early warning issued by BMKG has resulted in too many false alarms, where BMKG predicts extreme weather will occur but in reality extreme weather does not occur.</abstract><cop>Melville</cop><pub>American Institute of Physics</pub><doi>10.1063/5.0164647</doi><tpages>10</tpages></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0094-243X |
| ispartof | AIP Conference Proceedings, 2024, Vol.2774 (1) |
| issn | 0094-243X 1551-7616 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_scitation_primary_10_1063_5_0164647 |
| source | AIP Journals Complete |
| subjects | Climatology Disasters Early warning systems Emergency communications systems Emergency warning programs Extreme values False alarms Flood predictions Geophysics Precipitation Weather Wind speed |
| title | Verification of BMKG early warning related to flood disaster in South Kalimantan |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-04T23%3A10%3A05IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_scita&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:book&rft.genre=proceeding&rft.atitle=Verification%20of%20BMKG%20early%20warning%20related%20to%20flood%20disaster%20in%20South%20Kalimantan&rft.btitle=AIP%20Conference%20Proceedings&rft.au=Febrianti,%20Aini%20Suci&rft.date=2024-08-30&rft.volume=2774&rft.issue=1&rft.issn=0094-243X&rft.eissn=1551-7616&rft.coden=APCPCS&rft_id=info:doi/10.1063/5.0164647&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_scita%3E3098898497%3C/proquest_scita%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=3098898497&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true |