Risk management of smart grids based on plug-in hybrid electric vehicles' charging considering transformers' hottest spot temperature-dependent aging failures

This paper introduces a stochastic reliability evaluation methodology for quantifying the impact of unmanaged plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs') charging on the transformers' hottest spot temperature (HST)-dependent aging failures. Further, a novel PHEVs' charging management method has been proposed from the distribution transformers' dynamic thermal modeling perspective. The proposed reliability evaluation method provided the precise stochastic model corresponding to the PHEV owners' behavior. The introduced reliability evaluation methodology has been applied to an actual distribution system of the Hormozgan Regional Electrical Company in Iran under various PHEVs' charging scenarios. The numerical results imply that the distribution transformers' failures are adversely affected due to unmanaged PHEVs charging. The system under study has been simulated during a 10-year-period. The test results show that the transformers' HST-dependent failures due to the PHEVs' charging demand load exponentially increased as a function of system age. As revealed by the results, the proposed PHEVs' charging management methodology mitigates the aggregated peak load and transformers' HST by deferring the peak charging load to midnight.