Distinguishing Frontotemporal Lobar Degeneration Tau From TDP-43 Using Plasma Biomarkers

IMPORTANCE: Biomarkers are lacking that can discriminate frontotemporal lobar degeneration (FTLD) associated with tau (FTLD-tau) or TDP-43 (FTLD-TDP). OBJECTIVE: To test whether plasma biomarkers glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), neurofilament light chain (NfL), or their ratio (GFAP/NfL) differ between FTLD-tau and FTLD-TDP. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective cross-sectional study included data from 2009 to 2020 from the University of Pennsylvania Integrated Neurodegenerative Disease Database, with a median (IQR) follow-up duration of 2 (0.3-4.2) years. The training sample was composed of patients with autopsy-confirmed and familial FTLD; nonimpaired controls were included as a reference group. The independent validation sample included patients with FTD with a clinical diagnosis of progressive supranuclear palsy syndrome (PSPS) associated with tau (PSPS-tau) or amytrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) associated with TDP-43 (ALS-TDP). In patients with FTLD with autopsy-confirmed or variant-confirmed pathology, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves tested the GFAP/NfL ratio and established a pathology-confirmed cut point. The cut point was validated in an independent sample of patients with clinical frontotemporal dementia (FTD). Data were analyzed from February to July 2022. EXPOSURES: Clinical, postmortem histopathological assessments, and plasma collection. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: ROC and area under the ROC curve (AUC) with 90% CIs evaluated discrimination of pure FTLD-tau from pure FTLD-TDP using plasma GFAP/NfL ratio; the Youden index established optimal cut points. Sensitivity and specificity of cut points were assessed in an independent validation sample. RESULTS: Of 349 participants with available plasma data, 234 met inclusion criteria (31 controls, 141 in the training sample, and 62 in the validation sample). In the training sample, patients with FTLD-tau were older than patients with FTLD-TDP (FTLD-tau: n = 46; mean [SD] age, 65.8 [8.29] years; FTLD-TDP: n = 95; mean [SD] age, 62.3 [7.82] years; t84.6 = 2.45; mean difference, 3.57; 95% CI, 0.67-6.48; P = .02) but with similar sex distribution (FTLD-tau: 27 of 46 [59%] were male; FTLD-TDP: 51 of 95 [54%] were male; χ21 = 0.14; P = .70). In the validation sample, patients with PSPS-tau were older than those with ALS-TDP (PSPS-tau: n = 31; mean [SD] age, 69.3 [7.35] years; ALS-TDP: n = 31; mean [SD] age, 54.6 [10.17] years; t54.6 = 6.53; mean difference, 14.71; 95% C