New model predicts in-hospital complications in myocardial infarction

Introduction and Objectives: Ischemic cardiopathy constitutes the leading cause of death worldwide. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic capacity of the leukoglycemic index as well as to create a predictive model of in-hospital complications in patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction. Materials and Methods: This was a multicentral and cohort study, which included patients inserted in the Cuban Registry of acute myocardial infarction. The study investigated 900 patients with a validation population represented by 233 external subjects. In order to define the performance of the leukoglycemic index were evaluated the discrimination with the statistical C and the calibration by Hosmer – Lemeshow test. A model of logistic binary regression was employed in order to define the predictive factors. Results: Optimal cut point of the leukoglycemic index to predict in-hospital complications was 1188 (sensibility 60%; specificity 61.6%; area under the curve 0.623; p < 0.001). In-hospital complications were significantly higher in the group with the leukoglycemic index ≥ 1188; a higher value was significantly associated with a higher risk to develop an in-hospital complication [RR (IC 95%) = 2.4 (1.804–3.080); p