Serum Procalcitonin as a Predictive Biomarker in COVID-19: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis

Introduction: Since the onset of COVID-19, physicians and scientists have been working to further understand biomarkers associated with the infection, so that patients who have contracted the virus can be treated. Although COVID-19 is a complex virus that affects patients differently, current research suggests that COVID-19 infections have been associated with increased procalcitonin, a biomarker traditionally indicative of bacterial infections. This paper aims to investigate the relationship between COVID-19 infection severity and procalcitonin levels in the hopes to aid the management of patients with COVID-19 infections.Methods: Patient data were obtained from the Renaissance School of Medicine at Stony Brook University. The data of the patients who had tested positive for COVID-19 and had an associated procalcitonin value (n=1046) was divided into age splits of 18-59, 59-74, and 74-90. Multiple factors were analyzed to determine the severity of each patient’s infection. Patients were divided into low, medium, and high severity dependent on the patient's COVID-19 severity. A one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was done for each age split to compare procalcitonin values of the severity groups within the respective age split. Next, post hoc analysis was done for the severity groups in each age split to further compare the groups against each other. Results: One-way ANOVA testing of the three age splits all had a resulting p