Predictive utility of symptom measures in classifying anxiety and depression: A machine-learning approach

•Machine learning predicted psychopathology diagnoses using symptom questionnaires.•A measure of anxious apprehension was effective in detection of generalized anxiety.•Anxious apprehension distinguished generalized anxiety from major depression.•A measure of anhedonia was effective in detecting current major depressive episodes.•A measure of anxious arousal did not meaningfully predict generalized anxiety. Major depressive disorder (MDD) and generalized anxiety disorder (GAD) are highly prevalent, co-occurring disorders with significant symptom overlap, posing challenges in accurately distinguishing and diagnosing these disorders. The tripartite model proposes that anxious arousal is specific to anxiety and anhedonia is specific to depression, though anxious apprehension may play a greater role in GAD than anxious arousal. The present study tested the efficacy of the Mood and Anxiety Symptom Questionnaire anhedonic depression (MASQ-AD) and anxious arousal (MASQ-AA) scales and the Penn State Worry Questionnaire (PSWQ) in identifying lifetime or current MDD, current major depressive episode (MDE), and GAD using binary support vector machine learning algorithms in an adult sample (n = 150). The PSWQ and MASQ-AD demonstrated predictive utility in screening for and identification of GAD and current MDE respectively, with the MASQ-AD eight-item subscale outperforming the MASQ-AD 14-item subscale. The MASQ-AA did not predict MDD, current MDE, or GAD, and the MASQ-AD did not predict current or lifetime MDD. The PSWQ and MASQ-AD are efficient and accurate screening tools for GAD and current MDE. Results support the tripartite model in that anhedonia is unique to depression, but inclusion of anxious apprehension as a separate dimension of anxiety is warranted.