Hyperglycemia and blood glucose deterioration are risk factors for severe COVID‐19 with diabetes: A two‐center cohort study

We aimed to assess whether blood glucose control can be used as predictors for the severity of 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID‐19) and to improve the management of diabetic patients with COVID‐19. A two‐center cohort with a total of 241 confirmed cases of COVID‐19 with definite outcomes was studied. After the diagnosis of COVID‐19, the clinical data and laboratory results were collected, the fasting blood glucose levels were followed up at initial, middle stage of admission and discharge, the severity of the COVID‐19 was assessed at any time from admission to discharge. Hyperglycemia patients with COVID‐19 were divided into three groups: good blood glucose control, fair blood glucose control, and blood glucose deterioration. The relationship of blood glucose levels, blood glucose control status, and severe COVID‐19 were analyzed by univariate and multivariable regression analysis. In our cohort, 21.16% were severe cases and 78.84% were nonsevere cases. Admission hyperglycemia (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.938; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.387–2.707), mid‐term hyperglycemia (aOR, 1.758; 95% CI, 1.325–2.332), and blood glucose deterioration (aOR, 22.783; 95% CI, 2.661–195.071) were identified as the risk factors of severe COVID‐19. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, reaching an area under ROC curve of 0.806, and a sensitivity and specificity of 80.40% and 68.40%, respectively, revealed that hyperglycemia on admission and blood glucose deterioration of diabetic patients are potential predictive factors for severe COVID‐19. Our results indicated that admission hyperglycemia and blood glucose deterioration were positively correlated with the risk factor for severe COVID‐19, and deterioration of blood glucose may be more likely to the occurrence of severe illness in COVID‐19. Highlights High fasting blood glucose level, especially the initial level at admission was an important risk factor for severe cases. Deterioration of blood glucose may be more likely to the occurrence of severe 2019 coronavirus disease.