The Risk Analyses of Lymph Node Metastasis and Recurrence for Submucosal Invasive Colorectal Cancer: Novel Criteria to Skip Completion Surgery

(1) Background: Additional surgical resection after endoscopic resection (ER) is recommended for patients with submucosal invasive colorectal cancer (pT1 CRC) who have risk factors for lymph node metastasis (LNM) (high-risk pT1 CRC). This study aimed to identify risk factors for LNM and metastatic recurrence and to determine the low-risk population for whom additional surgery can be omitted among high-risk pT1 CRCs. (2) Methods: We retrospectively identified 404 patients with pT1 CRC who underwent ER or surgery, and patients were divided into three groups: low-risk ( = 79); high-risk pT1 with ER ( = 40); and high-risk with surgery ( = 285). We also enrolled another 64 patients with high-risk pT1 CRC in an independent validation cohort. (3) Results: In the high-risk with surgery group, LNM was seen in 11.2%, and vascular and lymphatic invasions were significantly independent risk factors for LNM on multivariate analysis. No LNMs were observed in pT1 CRCs with a negative vertical margin and SM invasion depth ≤2000 µm that had no other risk factors except for budding. Five patients developed metastatic recurrence in the high-risk with surgery group, and rectal cancer and undifferentiated histology were significantly independent risk factors for poor relapse-free survival. No LNM or recurrent cases were seen in high-risk pT1 CRCs that met these criteria: differentiated adenocarcinoma, no lymphovascular invasion, colon cancer, SM invasion depth ≤2000 μm, and a negative vertical margin, which were validated in an independent validation cohort. (4) Conclusions: Completion surgery may be skipped for high-risk pT1 CRCs that meet our proposed criteria.