Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale
Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four comm...
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description | Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four common HCoVs’ data were collected by a systematic literature review, and data of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were collected from the World Health Organization’s reports. Monthly positive rates of common HCoVs and incidence rates of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were calculated. Geographical coordinates were used to link virus data and environmental data. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to quantitatively estimate the association of environmental factors with HCoVs’ epidemic. We found that there are wide associations between HCoVs and environmental factors on a global scale, and some of the associations were nonlinear. In addition, COVID-19 has the most similarities in associations’ direction with common HCoVs, especially for HCoV-HKU1 in four environmental factors including the significantly negative associations with average temperature, precipitation, vegetation coverage (
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doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y |
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p
<0.05), and the U-shaped association with temperature range. This study strengthened the relevant research evidences and provided significant insights into the epidemic rules of HCoVs in general. The similarities between COVID-19 and common HCoVs indicated that it is critically important to strengthen surveillance on common HCoVs and pay more attention to environmental factors’ role in surveillance and early warning of HCoVs’ epidemic.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0944-1344</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1614-7499</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y</identifier><identifier>PMID: 34609683</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Aquatic Pollution ; Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution ; Coronaviridae ; Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology ; Coronaviruses ; COVID-19 ; COVID-19 - epidemiology ; COVID-19 infection ; Earth and Environmental Science ; Ecotoxicology ; Environment ; Environmental Chemistry ; Environmental factors ; Environmental Health ; Environmental science ; Epidemics ; Geographical coordinates ; Global Health ; Health surveillance ; Humans ; Literature reviews ; Mathematical analysis ; Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus ; monitoring ; Orthocoronavirinae ; Research Article ; SARS Virus ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Severe acute respiratory syndrome ; Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - epidemiology ; Similarity ; Surveillance ; temperature ; vegetation ; Viral diseases ; Viruses ; Waste Water Technology ; Water Management ; Water Pollution Control ; World Health Organization</subject><ispartof>Environmental science and pollution research international, 2022-02, Vol.29 (10), p.14333-14347</ispartof><rights>The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021</rights><rights>2021. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.</rights><rights>The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2021.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c507t-1df1422443ea97dc4f0d09bc2d07a94c095b4f92f98360bf901ec9b382cc0c8f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c507t-1df1422443ea97dc4f0d09bc2d07a94c095b4f92f98360bf901ec9b382cc0c8f3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-5362-7339</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y$$EPDF$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y$$EHTML$$P50$$Gspringer$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,776,780,881,27901,27902,41464,42533,51294</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/34609683$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Yan, Xiangyu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Zekun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Xuechun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Xiangyu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Lianhao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lu, Zuhong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jia, Zhongwei</creatorcontrib><title>Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale</title><title>Environmental science and pollution research international</title><addtitle>Environ Sci Pollut Res</addtitle><addtitle>Environ Sci Pollut Res Int</addtitle><description>Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four common HCoVs’ data were collected by a systematic literature review, and data of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were collected from the World Health Organization’s reports. Monthly positive rates of common HCoVs and incidence rates of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were calculated. Geographical coordinates were used to link virus data and environmental data. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to quantitatively estimate the association of environmental factors with HCoVs’ epidemic. We found that there are wide associations between HCoVs and environmental factors on a global scale, and some of the associations were nonlinear. In addition, COVID-19 has the most similarities in associations’ direction with common HCoVs, especially for HCoV-HKU1 in four environmental factors including the significantly negative associations with average temperature, precipitation, vegetation coverage (
p
<0.05), and the U-shaped association with temperature range. This study strengthened the relevant research evidences and provided significant insights into the epidemic rules of HCoVs in general. The similarities between COVID-19 and common HCoVs indicated that it is critically important to strengthen surveillance on common HCoVs and pay more attention to environmental factors’ role in surveillance and early warning of HCoVs’ epidemic.</description><subject>Aquatic Pollution</subject><subject>Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution</subject><subject>Coronaviridae</subject><subject>Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology</subject><subject>Coronaviruses</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>COVID-19 - epidemiology</subject><subject>COVID-19 infection</subject><subject>Earth and Environmental Science</subject><subject>Ecotoxicology</subject><subject>Environment</subject><subject>Environmental Chemistry</subject><subject>Environmental factors</subject><subject>Environmental Health</subject><subject>Environmental science</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Geographical coordinates</subject><subject>Global Health</subject><subject>Health surveillance</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Literature reviews</subject><subject>Mathematical analysis</subject><subject>Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus</subject><subject>monitoring</subject><subject>Orthocoronavirinae</subject><subject>Research Article</subject><subject>SARS Virus</subject><subject>SARS-CoV-2</subject><subject>Severe acute respiratory syndrome</subject><subject>Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - epidemiology</subject><subject>Similarity</subject><subject>Surveillance</subject><subject>temperature</subject><subject>vegetation</subject><subject>Viral diseases</subject><subject>Viruses</subject><subject>Waste Water Technology</subject><subject>Water Management</subject><subject>Water Pollution Control</subject><subject>World Health 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international</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Yan, Xiangyu</au><au>Wang, Zekun</au><au>Wang, Xuechun</au><au>Zhang, Xiangyu</au><au>Wang, Lianhao</au><au>Lu, Zuhong</au><au>Jia, Zhongwei</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale</atitle><jtitle>Environmental science and pollution research international</jtitle><stitle>Environ Sci Pollut Res</stitle><addtitle>Environ Sci Pollut Res Int</addtitle><date>2022-02-01</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>29</volume><issue>10</issue><spage>14333</spage><epage>14347</epage><pages>14333-14347</pages><issn>0944-1344</issn><eissn>1614-7499</eissn><abstract>Environmental factors could influence the epidemic of virus in human; however, the association remains intricate, and the evidence is still not clear in human coronaviruses (HCoVs). We aimed to explore and compare the associations between HCoVs’ epidemic and environmental factors globally. Four common HCoVs’ data were collected by a systematic literature review, and data of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were collected from the World Health Organization’s reports. Monthly positive rates of common HCoVs and incidence rates of MERS, SARS, and COVID-19 were calculated. Geographical coordinates were used to link virus data and environmental data. Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to quantitatively estimate the association of environmental factors with HCoVs’ epidemic. We found that there are wide associations between HCoVs and environmental factors on a global scale, and some of the associations were nonlinear. In addition, COVID-19 has the most similarities in associations’ direction with common HCoVs, especially for HCoV-HKU1 in four environmental factors including the significantly negative associations with average temperature, precipitation, vegetation coverage (
p
<0.05), and the U-shaped association with temperature range. This study strengthened the relevant research evidences and provided significant insights into the epidemic rules of HCoVs in general. The similarities between COVID-19 and common HCoVs indicated that it is critically important to strengthen surveillance on common HCoVs and pay more attention to environmental factors’ role in surveillance and early warning of HCoVs’ epidemic.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>34609683</pmid><doi>10.1007/s11356-021-16500-y</doi><tpages>15</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5362-7339</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Aquatic Pollution Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution Coronaviridae Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronaviruses COVID-19 COVID-19 - epidemiology COVID-19 infection Earth and Environmental Science Ecotoxicology Environment Environmental Chemistry Environmental factors Environmental Health Environmental science Epidemics Geographical coordinates Global Health Health surveillance Humans Literature reviews Mathematical analysis Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus monitoring Orthocoronavirinae Research Article SARS Virus SARS-CoV-2 Severe acute respiratory syndrome Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome - epidemiology Similarity Surveillance temperature vegetation Viral diseases Viruses Waste Water Technology Water Management Water Pollution Control World Health Organization |
title | Association between human coronaviruses’ epidemic and environmental factors on a global scale |
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