Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries

Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandem...

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Veröffentlicht in:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS 2021-09, Vol.118 (36), p.1-3
Hauptverfasser: Aassve, Arnstein, Cavalli, Nicolò, Mencarini, Letizia, Plach, Samuel, Sanders, Seth
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container_issue 36
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container_title Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS
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creator Aassve, Arnstein
Cavalli, Nicolò
Mencarini, Letizia
Plach, Samuel
Sanders, Seth
description Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (−9.1%), Spain (−8.4%), and Portugal (−6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.
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subjects Birth
BRIEF REPORTS
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
Fertility
Income
Pandemics
Social Sciences
Vital statistics
title Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries
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