Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries

Early assessment of the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and births in high-income countries

Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandem...

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Veröffentlicht in:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS 2021-09, Vol.118 (36), p.1-3
Hauptverfasser: Aassve, Arnstein, Cavalli, Nicolò, Mencarini, Letizia, Plach, Samuel, Sanders, Seth
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Birth
BRIEF REPORTS
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
Fertility
Income
Pandemics
Social Sciences
Vital statistics
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Drawing on past pandemics, scholars have suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic will bring about fertility decline. Evidence from actual birth data has so far been scarce. This brief report uses data on vital statistics from a selection of high-income countries, including the United States. The pandemic has been accompanied by a significant drop in crude birth rates beyond that predicted by past trends in 7 out of the 22 countries considered, with particularly strong declines in southern Europe: Italy (−9.1%), Spain (−8.4%), and Portugal (−6.6%). Substantial heterogeneities are, however, observed.
ISSN:0027-8424
1091-6490
DOI:10.1073/pnas.2105709118