Predicting tumor response and outcome of second-look surgery with 18F-FDG PET/CT: insights from the GINECO CHIVA phase II trial of neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus nintedanib in stage IIIc-IV FIGO ovarian cancer

Background This ancillary study aimed to evaluate 18 F-FDG PET parameter changes after one cycle of treatment compared to baseline in patients receiving first-line neoadjuvant anti-angiogenic nintedanib combined to paclitaxel-carboplatin chemotherapy or chemotherapy plus placebo and to evaluate the ability of 18 F-FDG PET parameters to predict progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and success of second-look surgery. Materials and methods Central review was performed by two readers blinded to the received treatment and to the patients’ outcome, in consensus, by computing percentage change in PET metrics within a volume of interest encompassing the entire tumor burden. EORTC and PERCIST criteria were applied to classify patients as responders (partial metabolic response and complete metabolic response) or non-responders (stable metabolic disease and progressive metabolic disease). Also analyzed was the percentage change in metabolic active tumor volume (MATV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG). Results Twenty-four patients were included in this ancillary study: 10 received chemotherapy + placebo and 14 chemotherapy + nintedanib. PERCIST and EORTC criteria showed similar discriminative power in predicting PSF and OS. Variation in MATV/TLG did not predict PFS or OS, and no optimal threshold could be found for MATV/TLG for predicting survival. Complete cytoreductive surgery (no residual disease versus residual disease 2.5 cm) was more frequent in responders versus non-responders ( P = 0.002 for PERCIST and P = 0.02 for EORTC criteria). No correlation was observed between the variation of PET data and the variation of CA-125 blood level between baseline sample and that performed contemporary to the interim PET, but a statistically significant correlation was observed between ΔSUL peak and ΔCA-125 between baseline sample and that performed after the second cycle. Conclusion 18 F-FDG PET using EORTC or PERCIST criteria appeared to be a useful tool in ovarian cancer trials to analyze early tumor response, and predict second-look surgery outcome and survival. An advantage of PERCIST is the correlation of ΔSUL peak and ΔCA-125, PET response preceding tumor markers response by 1 month. Neither MATV nor TLG was useful in predicting survival. Trial registration NCT01583322 ARCAGY/ GINECO GROUP GINECO-OV119, 24 April 2012