Effectiveness of a small breast screening programme: 25 year evaluation (25 year breast screening evaluation)

To evaluate mammography screening quality on the Island of Jersey over a 25-year period from Jan 1990 to end March 2015 from females invited between ages 50 to 75 using a 2 yearly screening interval. Jersey had a population of only around 67,000 at onset, rising to around 100,000 at the end of the 25 years. An analysis was performed of key routinely collected measures that are important to determining if a screening programme is on course to reduce breast cancer mortality such as uptake, recall rates, screen detected cancer and interval cancer rates. Further supporting indicators including grade, stage and comparative deaths from breast cancer in screen detected and not screen detected females were also assessed. Over the 25-year period 19,768 females were invited to screening and 16,866 attended, giving an uptake of 85.2%. There were 501 screen detected cancers of which 400 were invasive, and 101 DCIS. 125 interval cancers presented outside screening over the 25 years. The annual recall rate over the last 20 years was 90%. Interval cancers are more advanced than screen detected invasive cancers, so high suspicion is still required in breast symptoms after "normal" screen result. Mortality in lapsed/ceased attenders suggest that extending age range could be beneficial.