Financial implications of fourth industrial revolution: Can bitcoin improve prospects of energy investment?

•Bootstrap full- and sub-sample rolling-window Granger causality tests are applied.•Bitcoin and oil cannot always be in the same boat.•The burst of the Bitcoin bubble has weakened the hedging ability of Bitcoin.•The demand for oil to invest may be threatened by the increasing Bitcoin price.•Investor...

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Veröffentlicht in:Technological forecasting & social change 2020-09, Vol.158, p.120178-120178, Article 120178
Hauptverfasser: Su, Chi-Wei, Qin, Meng, Tao, Ran, Umar, Muhammad
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:•Bootstrap full- and sub-sample rolling-window Granger causality tests are applied.•Bitcoin and oil cannot always be in the same boat.•The burst of the Bitcoin bubble has weakened the hedging ability of Bitcoin.•The demand for oil to invest may be threatened by the increasing Bitcoin price.•Investors and governments can benefit from this investigation to optimize their investment and ensure the stable development of Bitcoin and oil markets. Bitcoin and the blockchain technology on which it is based are the key drivers behind the accelerated pace of Fourth Industrial Revolution in the domain of Finance. The offshoots of this technology however are not limited and are rapidly spreading in other domains such as oil market. This paper investigates the causality or influences that both markets, Bitcoin price (BP) and oil price (OP) have on each other by applying the bootstrap Granger causal relationship tests considering full as well as sub-samples. Our analysis reveals that shocks originated in OP and transmitted towards BP can be both positive or negative. The positive impact indicates that Bitcoin can be viewed as an asset helpful in avoiding the risks of the high OP, which also indicates that Bitcoin and oil are in the same boat, however, the negative effects cannot support this view. The negative influence of OP on BP can be explained by the burst of the Bitcoin bubble which has weakened its hedging ability. In turn, there is also a negative influence or reverse causality running from BP to OP, highlighting that the demand for oil by investors can be threatened by the increasing BP. Keeping in view the more integrated and complexed financial dynamics which are the results of Fourth Industrial Revolution, investors can benefit from this interrelationship to diversify the risks and optimize their investment by building a more balanced portfolio. Also, governments could promote and protect the healthy development of the Bitcoin and energy market by preventing the Bitcoin bubbles and understanding the reasons of oil price volatility.
ISSN:0040-1625
1873-5509
0040-1625
DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120178