Growth Rate of Plasmodium falciparum: Analysis of Parasite Growth Data From Malaria Volunteer Infection Studies

Abstract Background Growth rate of malaria parasites in the blood of infected subjects is an important measure of efficacy of drugs and vaccines. Methods We used log-linear and sine-wave models to estimate the parasite growth rate of the 3D7 strain of Plasmodium falciparum using data from 177 subjects from 14 induced blood stage malaria (IBSM) studies conducted at QIMR Berghofer. We estimated parasite multiplication rate per 48 hours (PMR48), PMR per life-cycle (PMRLC), and parasite life-cycle duration. We compared these parameters to those from studies conducted elsewhere with infections induced by IBSM (n = 66), sporozoites via mosquito bite (n = 336), or injection (n = 51). Results The parasite growth rate of 3D7 in QIMR Berghofer studies was 0.75/day (95% confidence interval [CI], .73–.77/day), PMR48 was 31.9 (95% CI, 28.7–35.4), PMRLC was 16.4 (95% CI, 15.1–17.8), and parasite life-cycle was 38.8 hours (95% CI, 38.3–39.2 hours). These parameters were similar to estimates from IBSM studies elsewhere (0.71/day, 95% CI, .67–.75/day; PMR48 26.6, 95% CI, 22.2–31.8) but significantly higher (P