Epidemics of panic during a bioterrorist attack – A mathematical model

Summary A bioterrorist attacks usually cause epidemics of panic in a targeted population. We have presented epidemiologic aspect of this phenomenon as a three-component model – host, information on an attack and social network. We have proposed a mathematical model of panic and counter-measures as t...

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Veröffentlicht in:Medical hypotheses 2009-09, Vol.73 (3), p.342-346
Hauptverfasser: Radosavljevic, Vladan, Radunovic, Desanka, Belojevic, Goran
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Summary A bioterrorist attacks usually cause epidemics of panic in a targeted population. We have presented epidemiologic aspect of this phenomenon as a three-component model – host, information on an attack and social network. We have proposed a mathematical model of panic and counter-measures as the function of time in a population exposed to a bioterrorist attack. The model comprises ordinary differential equations and graphically presented combinations of the equations parameters. Clinically, we have presented a model through a sequence of psychic conditions and disorders initiated by an act of bioterrorism. This model might be helpful for an attacked community to timely and properly apply counter-measures and to minimize human mental suffering during a bioterrorist attack.
ISSN:0306-9877
1532-2777
DOI:10.1016/j.mehy.2008.12.055