Interplay between epidemic spread and information propagation on metapopulation networks
The spread of an infectious disease has been widely found to evolve with the propagation of information. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of information propagation on the epidemic spreading, assuming that individuals are static and no mobility is involved. Inspired by the recent obse...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Journal of theoretical biology 2017-05, Vol.420, p.18-25 |
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Sprache: | eng |
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Zusammenfassung: | The spread of an infectious disease has been widely found to evolve with the propagation of information. Many seminal works have demonstrated the impact of information propagation on the epidemic spreading, assuming that individuals are static and no mobility is involved. Inspired by the recent observation of diverse mobility patterns, we incorporate the information propagation into a metapopulation model based on the mobility patterns and contagion process, which significantly alters the epidemic threshold. In more details, we find that both the information efficiency and the mobility patterns have essential impacts on the epidemic spread. We obtain different scenarios leading to the mitigation of the outbreak by appropriately integrating the mobility patterns and the information efficiency as well. The inclusion of the impacts of the information propagation into the epidemiological model is expected to provide an support to public health implications for the suppression of epidemics.
•A model of epidemiological metapopulation combined with the information propagation is proposed.•Both information propagation and human mobility patterns coeffect the epidemic spread.•Scenarios of mitigation of outbreaks by considering information propagation and human mobility patterns are proposed. |
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ISSN: | 0022-5193 1095-8541 |
DOI: | 10.1016/j.jtbi.2017.02.020 |