Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Euro...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles 2020-01, Vol.25 (4), p.1 |
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| container_title | Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles |
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| creator | Pullano, Giulia Pinotti, Francesco Valdano, Eugenio Boëlle, Pierre-Yves Poletto, Chiara Colizza, Vittoria |
| description | As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057 |
| format | Article |
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We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.</description><subject>Air Travel</subject><subject>Betacoronavirus</subject><subject>China - epidemiology</subject><subject>Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology</subject><subject>Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control</subject><subject>Coronavirus Infections - transmission</subject><subject>COVID-19</subject><subject>Disease Outbreaks</subject><subject>Emerging diseases</subject><subject>Europe - epidemiology</subject><subject>Human health and pathology</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Life Sciences</subject><subject>Microbiology and Parasitology</subject><subject>Models, Theoretical</subject><subject>Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology</subject><subject>Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control</subject><subject>Pneumonia, Viral - transmission</subject><subject>Public Policy</subject><subject>Rapid Communication</subject><subject>Respiratory diseases</subject><subject>Risk Assessment</subject><subject>Risk factors</subject><subject>Santé publique et épidémiologie</subject><subject>SARS-CoV-2</subject><subject>Travel</subject><subject>Viral infections</subject><subject>Virology</subject><issn>1560-7917</issn><issn>1025-496X</issn><issn>1560-7917</issn><issn>1025-496X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>EIF</sourceid><recordid>eNpdUV1rFDEUDaLYWv0LEhCkQmfNxySZeSmUZbXKomDV10tm5m6bOpOsycxC_70Zuq61eckh99xzT-4h5C1nC1Ex854rzQpTc7NYXS0EE_lZLcqM8lHmCTk-EJ4-wEfkRUq3jJWS1eI5OZKC8Vprc0y-fQk77GkbYvB25-KU6OlcLPwy_HxH0cb-rkijvUbqhm2Iox1d8DS69IuOga6mGLZ4Rj9bP9l4R2dHL8mzje0TvtrfJ-THh9X35WWx_vrx0_JiXbRKl2MhuqZqTKPzNMxIVFVXG4OtkKXQjZS6FbVWvOabGrFjDWZt2VWMNTO2tTwh5_e626kZsGvRj9H2sI1uyFYgWAf_V7y7geuwA8MYFyXLAmf3AjeP2i4v1uB8wjgAE4obWaodz_TT_bwYfk-YRhhcarHvrccwJRBScSW41lWmvnlEvQ1T9HkbMyunoI3h_z7QxpBSxM3BBGcwpw1zgDAHCKsrmHcLQkEJ-7SzwOuHGzi0_41X_gGkBKQX</recordid><startdate>20200130</startdate><enddate>20200130</enddate><creator>Pullano, Giulia</creator><creator>Pinotti, Francesco</creator><creator>Valdano, Eugenio</creator><creator>Boëlle, Pierre-Yves</creator><creator>Poletto, Chiara</creator><creator>Colizza, Vittoria</creator><general>Centre Europeen pour la Surveillance Epidemiologique du SIDA (European Centre for the Epidemiological Monitoring of AIDS)</general><general>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control</general><general>European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7X8</scope><scope>1XC</scope><scope>VOOES</scope><scope>5PM</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1953-2106</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5367-8232</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4051-1716</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9246-6195</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20200130</creationdate><title>Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020</title><author>Pullano, Giulia ; Pinotti, Francesco ; Valdano, Eugenio ; Boëlle, Pierre-Yves ; Poletto, Chiara ; Colizza, Vittoria</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c564t-2db8b7b6201eb8b288d977ec23426b336c2965191f9eed0be2023d800b0be2a93</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>Air Travel</topic><topic>Betacoronavirus</topic><topic>China - epidemiology</topic><topic>Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology</topic><topic>Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control</topic><topic>Coronavirus Infections - transmission</topic><topic>COVID-19</topic><topic>Disease Outbreaks</topic><topic>Emerging diseases</topic><topic>Europe - epidemiology</topic><topic>Human health and pathology</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Life Sciences</topic><topic>Microbiology and Parasitology</topic><topic>Models, Theoretical</topic><topic>Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology</topic><topic>Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control</topic><topic>Pneumonia, Viral - transmission</topic><topic>Public Policy</topic><topic>Rapid Communication</topic><topic>Respiratory diseases</topic><topic>Risk Assessment</topic><topic>Risk factors</topic><topic>Santé publique et épidémiologie</topic><topic>SARS-CoV-2</topic><topic>Travel</topic><topic>Viral infections</topic><topic>Virology</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Pullano, Giulia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pinotti, Francesco</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Valdano, Eugenio</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Boëlle, Pierre-Yves</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Poletto, Chiara</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Colizza, Vittoria</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><collection>Hyper Article en Ligne (HAL)</collection><collection>Hyper Article en Ligne (HAL) (Open Access)</collection><collection>PubMed Central (Full Participant titles)</collection><jtitle>Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Pullano, Giulia</au><au>Pinotti, Francesco</au><au>Valdano, Eugenio</au><au>Boëlle, Pierre-Yves</au><au>Poletto, Chiara</au><au>Colizza, Vittoria</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020</atitle><jtitle>Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles</jtitle><addtitle>Euro Surveill</addtitle><date>2020-01-30</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>25</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>1</spage><pages>1-</pages><issn>1560-7917</issn><issn>1025-496X</issn><eissn>1560-7917</eissn><eissn>1025-496X</eissn><abstract>As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. 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| subjects | Air Travel Betacoronavirus China - epidemiology Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control Coronavirus Infections - transmission COVID-19 Disease Outbreaks Emerging diseases Europe - epidemiology Human health and pathology Humans Life Sciences Microbiology and Parasitology Models, Theoretical Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control Pneumonia, Viral - transmission Public Policy Rapid Communication Respiratory diseases Risk Assessment Risk factors Santé publique et épidémiologie SARS-CoV-2 Travel Viral infections Virology |
| title | Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020 |
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