Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020

As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Euro...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles 2020-01, Vol.25 (4), p.1
Hauptverfasser:	Pullano, Giulia, Pinotti, Francesco, Valdano, Eugenio, Boëlle, Pierre-Yves, Poletto, Chiara, Colizza, Vittoria
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Air Travel Betacoronavirus China - epidemiology Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control Coronavirus Infections - transmission COVID-19 Disease Outbreaks Emerging diseases Europe - epidemiology Human health and pathology Humans Life Sciences Microbiology and Parasitology Models, Theoretical Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control Pneumonia, Viral - transmission Public Policy Rapid Communication Respiratory diseases Risk Assessment Risk factors Santé publique et épidémiologie SARS-CoV-2 Travel Viral infections Virology
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Zusammenfassung:	As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.
ISSN:	1560-7917 1025-496X 1560-7917 1025-496X
DOI:	10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057