Opioid use trajectory groups and changes in a physical health biomarker among HIV-positive and uninfected patients receiving opioid agonist treatment

•Opioid urine toxicology trajectories were used to estimate abstinence over time.•Biomarkers are associated with opioid toxicology trajectories among HIV+.•The associations vary by HIV status and HIV-1 RNA detectable versus suppressed. Objective outcomes for measuring the physical health effects of substance use disorder treatment are needed. We compared the responsiveness of CD4, HIV-1 RNA and a biomarker index (VACS Index 2.0) to changes in opioid use among people with HIV (PWH) and uninfected individuals receiving opioid agonist treatment (OAT). Electronic health record data were used to identify patients who received ≥90 days of OAT and had ≥1 urine toxicology test in the Veterans Aging Cohort Study. Trajectory models identified patterns of opioid urine toxicology results. We used linear regression adjusted for age and race/ethnicity to determine associations between opioid toxicology groups and biomarker changes from up to one-year pre OAT to 3–15 months after OAT initiation. Among 266 with detectable HIV-1 RNA, 366 with suppressed HIV-1 RNA, and 1183 uninfected patients, we identified five opioid toxicology groups ranging from consistently negative (54%) to consistently positive (9%). Among PWH with detectable HIV-1 RNA, all three biomarkers improved more for those consistently negative compared to those consistently positive (all p