Assessing the impact of travel restrictions on international spread of the 2014 West African Ebola epidemic

The quick spread of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa has led a number of countries and airline companies to issue travel bans to the affected areas. Considering data up to 31 Aug 2014, we assess the impact of the resulting traffic reductions with detailed numerical simulations of the international s...

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Veröffentlicht in:	Euro surveillance : bulletin européen sur les maladies transmissibles 2014-10, Vol.19 (42), p.1
Hauptverfasser:	Poletto, C, Gomes, M F, Pastore y Piontti, A, Rossi, L, Bioglio, L, Chao, D L, Longini, I M, Halloran, M E, Colizza, V, Vespignani, A
Format:	Artikel
Sprache:	eng
Schlagworte:	Africa, Western - epidemiology Aircraft Disease Outbreaks Ebola virus Epidemics Global Health Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - epidemiology Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - prevention & control Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - transmission Human health and pathology Humans Infectious diseases Life Sciences Risk assessment Santé publique et épidémiologie Simulation Travel
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Zusammenfassung:	The quick spread of an Ebola outbreak in West Africa has led a number of countries and airline companies to issue travel bans to the affected areas. Considering data up to 31 Aug 2014, we assess the impact of the resulting traffic reductions with detailed numerical simulations of the international spread of the epidemic. Traffic reductions are shown to delay by only a few weeks the risk that the outbreak extends to new countries.
ISSN:	1560-7917 1025-496X 1560-7917 1025-496X
DOI:	10.2807/1560-7917.es2014.19.42.20936