West African Ebola Epidemic after One Year — Slowing but Not Yet under Control
Despite efforts to control the outbreak of Ebola virus disease in West Africa, substantial transmission continues. As we reach the 1-year anniversary of the first known case from this outbreak, the WHO team updates the progress in controlling the epidemic. To the Editor: During the period from early...
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| Veröffentlicht in: | The New England journal of medicine 2015-02, Vol.372 (6), p.584-587 |
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| creator | Agua-Agum, Junerlyn Ariyarajah, Archchun Aylward, Bruce Blake, Isobel M Brennan, Richard Cori, Anne Donnelly, Christl A Dorigatti, Ilaria Dye, Christopher Eckmanns, Tim Ferguson, Neil M Formenty, Pierre Fraser, Christophe Garcia, Erika Garske, Tini Hinsley, Wes Holmes, David Hugonnet, Stéphane Iyengar, Swathi Jombart, Thibaut Krishnan, Ravi Meijers, Sascha Mills, Harriet L Mohamed, Yasmine Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma Newton, Emily Nouvellet, Pierre Pelletier, Louise Perkins, Devin Riley, Steven Sagrado, Maria Schnitzler, Johannes Schumacher, Dirk Shah, Anita Van Kerkhove, Maria D Varsaneux, Olivia Wijekoon Kannangarage, Niluka |
| description | Despite efforts to control the outbreak of Ebola virus disease in West Africa, substantial transmission continues. As we reach the 1-year anniversary of the first known case from this outbreak, the WHO team updates the progress in controlling the epidemic.
To the Editor:
During the period from early June to mid-September 2014, the epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone grew exponentially, with national doubling times of between 16 and 30 days.
1
On the basis of case reports through mid-September, and assuming no change in the trajectory of the epidemic, we predicted a cumulative total of 21,000 cases in these three countries by November 2.
1
In fact, the epidemic did change course in September: the increase in case incidence appears to have halted in Guinea and Sierra Leone and has reversed in Liberia (Figure 1). . . . |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1056/NEJMc1414992 |
| format | Article |
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To the Editor:
During the period from early June to mid-September 2014, the epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone grew exponentially, with national doubling times of between 16 and 30 days.
1
On the basis of case reports through mid-September, and assuming no change in the trajectory of the epidemic, we predicted a cumulative total of 21,000 cases in these three countries by November 2.
1
In fact, the epidemic did change course in September: the increase in case incidence appears to have halted in Guinea and Sierra Leone and has reversed in Liberia (Figure 1). . . .</description><identifier>ISSN: 0028-4793</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1533-4406</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1056/NEJMc1414992</identifier><identifier>PMID: 25539446</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Massachusetts Medical Society</publisher><subject>Adolescent ; Adult ; Africa, Western - epidemiology ; Child ; Disease control ; Disease Progression ; Disease transmission ; Ebola virus ; Ebolavirus ; Epidemics ; Female ; Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - epidemiology ; Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - mortality ; Humans ; Incidence ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Young Adult</subject><ispartof>The New England journal of medicine, 2015-02, Vol.372 (6), p.584-587</ispartof><rights>Copyright © 2015 Massachusetts Medical Society. All rights reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c581t-55ccf04e502d294f61bc2e3cfdff18f4936b3bd8eb244d10790a959a622424643</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c581t-55ccf04e502d294f61bc2e3cfdff18f4936b3bd8eb244d10790a959a622424643</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMc1414992$$EPDF$$P50$$Gmms$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc1414992$$EHTML$$P50$$Gmms$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,776,780,881,2746,2747,26082,27903,27904,52360,54042</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25539446$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Agua-Agum, Junerlyn</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ariyarajah, Archchun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Aylward, Bruce</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Blake, Isobel M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Brennan, Richard</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cori, Anne</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Donnelly, Christl A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dorigatti, Ilaria</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dye, Christopher</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Eckmanns, Tim</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ferguson, Neil M</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Formenty, Pierre</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fraser, Christophe</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Garcia, Erika</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Garske, Tini</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hinsley, Wes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Holmes, David</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hugonnet, Stéphane</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iyengar, Swathi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jombart, Thibaut</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Krishnan, Ravi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Meijers, Sascha</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mills, Harriet L</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Mohamed, Yasmine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Newton, Emily</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nouvellet, Pierre</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pelletier, Louise</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Perkins, Devin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Riley, Steven</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Sagrado, Maria</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schnitzler, Johannes</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schumacher, Dirk</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shah, Anita</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Van Kerkhove, Maria D</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Varsaneux, Olivia</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wijekoon Kannangarage, Niluka</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>WHO Ebola Response Team</creatorcontrib><title>West African Ebola Epidemic after One Year — Slowing but Not Yet under Control</title><title>The New England journal of medicine</title><addtitle>N Engl J Med</addtitle><description>Despite efforts to control the outbreak of Ebola virus disease in West Africa, substantial transmission continues. As we reach the 1-year anniversary of the first known case from this outbreak, the WHO team updates the progress in controlling the epidemic.
To the Editor:
During the period from early June to mid-September 2014, the epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone grew exponentially, with national doubling times of between 16 and 30 days.
1
On the basis of case reports through mid-September, and assuming no change in the trajectory of the epidemic, we predicted a cumulative total of 21,000 cases in these three countries by November 2.
1
In fact, the epidemic did change course in September: the increase in case incidence appears to have halted in Guinea and Sierra Leone and has reversed in Liberia (Figure 1). . . .</description><subject>Adolescent</subject><subject>Adult</subject><subject>Africa, Western - epidemiology</subject><subject>Child</subject><subject>Disease control</subject><subject>Disease Progression</subject><subject>Disease transmission</subject><subject>Ebola virus</subject><subject>Ebolavirus</subject><subject>Epidemics</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - epidemiology</subject><subject>Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - mortality</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Incidence</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Young 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Stéphane</au><au>Iyengar, Swathi</au><au>Jombart, Thibaut</au><au>Krishnan, Ravi</au><au>Meijers, Sascha</au><au>Mills, Harriet L</au><au>Mohamed, Yasmine</au><au>Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma</au><au>Newton, Emily</au><au>Nouvellet, Pierre</au><au>Pelletier, Louise</au><au>Perkins, Devin</au><au>Riley, Steven</au><au>Sagrado, Maria</au><au>Schnitzler, Johannes</au><au>Schumacher, Dirk</au><au>Shah, Anita</au><au>Van Kerkhove, Maria D</au><au>Varsaneux, Olivia</au><au>Wijekoon Kannangarage, Niluka</au><aucorp>WHO Ebola Response Team</aucorp><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>West African Ebola Epidemic after One Year — Slowing but Not Yet under Control</atitle><jtitle>The New England journal of medicine</jtitle><addtitle>N Engl J Med</addtitle><date>2015-02-05</date><risdate>2015</risdate><volume>372</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>584</spage><epage>587</epage><pages>584-587</pages><issn>0028-4793</issn><eissn>1533-4406</eissn><abstract>Despite efforts to control the outbreak of Ebola virus disease in West Africa, substantial transmission continues. As we reach the 1-year anniversary of the first known case from this outbreak, the WHO team updates the progress in controlling the epidemic.
To the Editor:
During the period from early June to mid-September 2014, the epidemic of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone grew exponentially, with national doubling times of between 16 and 30 days.
1
On the basis of case reports through mid-September, and assuming no change in the trajectory of the epidemic, we predicted a cumulative total of 21,000 cases in these three countries by November 2.
1
In fact, the epidemic did change course in September: the increase in case incidence appears to have halted in Guinea and Sierra Leone and has reversed in Liberia (Figure 1). . . .</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Massachusetts Medical Society</pub><pmid>25539446</pmid><doi>10.1056/NEJMc1414992</doi><tpages>4</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 0028-4793 |
| ispartof | The New England journal of medicine, 2015-02, Vol.372 (6), p.584-587 |
| issn | 0028-4793 1533-4406 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_pubmedcentral_primary_oai_pubmedcentral_nih_gov_4368109 |
| source | MEDLINE; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals; New England Journal of Medicine |
| subjects | Adolescent Adult Africa, Western - epidemiology Child Disease control Disease Progression Disease transmission Ebola virus Ebolavirus Epidemics Female Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - epidemiology Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola - mortality Humans Incidence Male Middle Aged Young Adult |
| title | West African Ebola Epidemic after One Year — Slowing but Not Yet under Control |
| url | https://sfx.bib-bvb.de/sfx_tum?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2025-01-28T02%3A55%3A37IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_pubme&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=West%20African%20Ebola%20Epidemic%20after%20One%20Year%20%E2%80%94%20Slowing%20but%20Not%20Yet%20under%20Control&rft.jtitle=The%20New%20England%20journal%20of%20medicine&rft.au=Agua-Agum,%20Junerlyn&rft.aucorp=WHO%20Ebola%20Response%20Team&rft.date=2015-02-05&rft.volume=372&rft.issue=6&rft.spage=584&rft.epage=587&rft.pages=584-587&rft.issn=0028-4793&rft.eissn=1533-4406&rft_id=info:doi/10.1056/NEJMc1414992&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_pubme%3E3581753611%3C/proquest_pubme%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&disable_directlink=true&sfx.directlink=off&sfx.report_link=0&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=1651913423&rft_id=info:pmid/25539446&rfr_iscdi=true |