Assessment of Glucose and HbA1c Monitoring in a Pancreatic Cancer Surveillance Program for High-Risk Individuals

Several studies suggest that new-onset diabetes mellitus is an early manifestation of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Therefore, the International Cancer of the Pancreas Screening Consortium recommends glucose and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) monitoring in high-risk individuals (HRIs) undergoing surveillance. However, evidence that such monitoring improves PDAC detection is lacking. Our aim was to investigate the association between serum glucose and HbA1c values and the development of PDAC in HRIs undergoing surveillance. Participants were recruited from the familial pancreatic cancer surveillance cohort, which follows hereditary predisposed HRIs yearly by magnetic resonance imaging and/or endoscopic ultrasound and blood sampling. Those who underwent fasting glucose and/or HbA1c monitoring at least once were eligible candidates. Four hundred four HRIs met the inclusion criteria. During a median follow-up of 41 months (range 14-120), 9 individuals developed PDAC and 4 (without PDAC) were diagnosed with new-onset diabetes mellitus. Glucose levels ranged from 3.4 to 10.7 mmol/L (mean 5.6 ± 0.7) and HbA1c levels from 25 to 68 mmol/mol (mean 37.7 ± 4.1). The mean values did not differ significantly between PDAC cases and controls. The percentage of individuals with at least one elevated value were comparable between PDAC cases and controls for glucose (33% and 27%, P = 0.707) and HbA1c (22% and 14%, P = 0.623). No consistent glucose or HbA1c trends over time suggested a correlation with PDAC development. In this HRI surveillance cohort, measuring glucose and HbA1c values did not contribute to PDAC detection. Larger and longer-term studies are needed to determine the final role of glucose and HbA1c monitoring in PDAC surveillance.