Longitudinal trend in post-discharge estimated glomerular filtration rate in intensive care survivors

Acute kidney injury (AKI) within the intensive care unit (ICU) is common but evidence is limited on longer-term renal outcomes. We aimed to model the trend of kidney function in ICU survivors using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), comparing those with and without AKI, and investigate potential risk factors associated with eGFR decline. This observational cohort study included all patients aged 16 or older admitted to two general adult ICUs in Scotland between 1st July 2015 and 30th June 2018 who survived to 30 days following hospital discharge. Baseline serum creatinine and subsequent values were used to identify patients with AKI and calculate eGFR following hospital discharge. Mixed effects modelling was used to control for repeated measures and to allow inclusion of several exploratory variables. 3649 patients were included, with 1252 (34%) experiencing in-ICU AKI. Patients were followed up for up to 2000 days with a median 21 eGFR measurements. eGFR declined at a rate of -1.9 ml/min/1.73m /year ( value