Interictal respiratory variability predicts severity of hypoxemia after generalized convulsive seizures

Severe respiratory dysfunction induced by generalized convulsive seizures (GCS) is now thought to be a common mechanism for sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP). In a mouse model of seizure-induced death, increased interictal respiratory variability was reported in mice that later died of respiratory arrest after GCS. We studied respiratory variability in epilepsy patients as a predictive tool for severity of postictal hypoxemia, a potential biomarker for SUDEP risk. We then explored the relationship between respiratory variability and central CO drive, measured by the hypercapnic ventilatory response (HCVR). We reviewed clinical, video-electroencephalography, and respiratory (belts, airflow, pulse oximeter, and HCVR) data of epilepsy patients. Mean, SD, and coefficient of variation (CV) of interbreath interval (IBI) were calculated. Primary outcomes were: (1) nadir of capillary oxygen saturation (SpO ) and (2) duration of oxygen desaturation. Poincaré plots of IBI were created. Covariates were evaluated in univariate models, then, based on Akaike information criteria (AIC), multivariate regression models were created. Of 66 GCS recorded in 131 subjects, 30 had interpretable respiratory data. In the multivariate model with the lowest AIC value, duration of epilepsy was a significant predictor of duration of oxygen desaturation. Duration of tonic phase and CV of IBI during the third postictal minute correlated with SpO nadir, whereas CV of IBI during non-rapid eye movement sleep had a negative correlation. Poincaré plots showed that long-term variability was significantly greater in subjects with ≥200 s of postictal oxygen desaturation after GCS compared to those with