Improving PM 2.5 prediction in New Delhi using a hybrid extreme learning machine coupled with snake optimization algorithm

Fine particulate matter (PM ) is a significant air pollutant that drives the most chronic health problems and premature mortality in big metropolitans such as Delhi. In such a context, accurate prediction of PM concentration is critical for raising public awareness, allowing sensitive populations to...

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Veröffentlicht in:Scientific reports 2023-11, Vol.13 (1), p.21057
Hauptverfasser: Masood, Adil, Hameed, Mohammed Majeed, Srivastava, Aman, Pham, Quoc Bao, Ahmad, Kafeel, Razali, Siti Fatin Mohd, Baowidan, Souad Ahmad
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Sprache:eng
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Zusammenfassung:Fine particulate matter (PM ) is a significant air pollutant that drives the most chronic health problems and premature mortality in big metropolitans such as Delhi. In such a context, accurate prediction of PM concentration is critical for raising public awareness, allowing sensitive populations to plan ahead, and providing governments with information for public health alerts. This study applies a novel hybridization of extreme learning machine (ELM) with a snake optimization algorithm called the ELM-SO model to forecast PM concentrations. The model has been developed on air quality inputs and meteorological parameters. Furthermore, the ELM-SO hybrid model is compared with individual machine learning models, such as Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR), XGBoost, and a deep learning model known as Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM), in forecasting PM concentrations. The study results suggested that ELM-SO exhibited the highest level of predictive performance among the five models, with a testing value of squared correlation coefficient (R ) of 0.928, and root mean square error of 30.325 µg/m . The study's findings suggest that the ELM-SO technique is a valuable tool for accurately forecasting PM concentrations and could help advance the field of air quality forecasting. By developing state-of-the-art air pollution prediction models that incorporate ELM-SO, it may be possible to understand better and anticipate the effects of air pollution on human health and the environment.
ISSN:2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-023-47492-z