Factors Associated With Short-term Relapse in Patients With Pemphigus Who Receive Rituximab as First-line Therapy: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE: Rituximab and short-term corticosteroid therapy are the criterion standard treatments for patients with newly diagnosed moderate to severe pemphigus. OBJECTIVE: To examine factors associated with short-term relapse in patients with pemphigus treated with rituximab. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This post hoc analysis of a randomized clinical trial (Comparison Between Rituximab Treatment and Oral Corticosteroid Treatment in Patients With Pemphigus [RITUX 3]) conducted from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2015, included patients from 20 dermatology departments of tertiary care centers in France from the RITUX 3 trial and 3 newly diagnosed patients treated according to the trial protocol. Data analysis was performed from February 1 to June 30, 2019. EXPOSURE: Patients randomly assigned to the rituximab group in the RITUX 3 trial and the 3 additional patients were treated with 1000 mg of intravenous rituximab on days 0 and 14 and 500 mg at months 12 and 18 combined with a short-term prednisone regimen. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Baseline (pretreatment) clinical and biological characteristics (Pemphigus Disease Area Index [PDAI] score, ranging from 0-250 points, with higher values indicating more severe disease) and changes in anti–desmoglein (DSG) 1 and anti-DSG3 values as measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay during the 3 months after rituximab treatment were compared between patients with disease relapse and those who maintained clinical remission during the first 12 months after treatment. The positive and negative predictive values of these factors were calculated. RESULTS: Among 47 patients (mean [SD] age, 54.3 [17.0] years; 17 [36%] male and 30 [64%] female) included in the study, the mean (SD) baseline PDAI score for patients with relapsing disease was higher than that of the patients with nonrelapsing disease (54 [33] vs 28 [24]; P = .03). At month 3, 7 of 11 patients with relapsing disease (64%) vs 7 of 36 patients with nonrelapsing disease (19%) had persistent anti-DSG1 antibody values of 20 IU/mL or higher and/or anti-DSG3 antibody values of 130 IU/mL or higher (P = .01). A PDAI score of 45 or higher defining severe pemphigus and/or persistent anti-DSG1 antibody values of 20 IU/mL or higher and/or anti-DSG3 antibody values of 130 IU/mL or higher at month 3 provided a positive predictive value of 50% (95% CI, 27%-73%) and a negative predictive value of 94% (95% CI, 73%-100%) for the occurrence of relapse after rituximab. CO