THE INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL DYNAMICS OF BOUNDED PARTISANSHIP

THE INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL DYNAMICS OF BOUNDED PARTISANSHIP

Over the past half century, scholars have utilized a variety of theoretical and methodological approaches to study the attachment or identification voters have with political parties. However, models of partisan(in) stability ignore its bounded character. Making use of Mixed Latent Markov Models, we...

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Veröffentlicht in:Public opinion quarterly 2011-10, Vol.75 (3), p.458-482
Hauptverfasser: NEUNDORF, ANJA, STEGMUELLER, DANIEL, SCOTTO, THOMAS J.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Attachment
Electorate
Federal Republic of Germany
Identification
Markov analysis
Markov chains
Markov models
Mathematical models
Methodology
Modeling
Parametric models
Partisanship
Party identification
Political Parties
Political partisanship
Socioeconomic development
Socioeconomic factors
Socioeconomics
Stability
Studies
Voter behavior
Voters
Voting
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Over the past half century, scholars have utilized a variety of theoretical and methodological approaches to study the attachment or identification voters have with political parties. However, models of partisan(in) stability ignore its bounded character. Making use of Mixed Latent Markov Models, we measure the change and stability of individual-level West German partisan identification captured over a 24-year period via the German Socio-Economie Panel (GSEOP). Results suggest that distinctive subpopulations exist that follow different patterns of partisan stability. One party's loss is not necessarily another party's gain.
ISSN:0033-362X
1537-5331
DOI:10.1093/poq/nfr018