The environmental and economic influence of coal-electricity integration exploitation in the Xilingol League

The Xilingol League of Inner Mongolia, where Xilingol Grassland National Nature Reserve is located in, is an important sand-fixing ecological function area of China and the important ecological barrier for Beijing and Tianjin. It has been designated as one of the important national bases of coal mining and electricity generation in China's 12th Five-Year Plan for national economic and social development. The integration of coal mining and electricity generation in the Xilingol League will play an important role in national energy strategy, providing benefits that will not only improve the utilization of energy resources, but also substantially promote regional economic development. At the same time, such integration will significantly affect the local ecological environment characterized by extensive grasslands and important ecological shelters, especially due to substantial air pollution emissions released into local atmospheric environments. Environmental protection is a key ingredient of regional sustainable development. Although the status of the local environment has been studied by some scholars, focusing primarily on areas targeted for resource exploration and utilization in terms of soil and water loss and environmental capacity in the Xilingol League, there has been less research on the environmental impacts of economic development in the Xilingol League. This article examines the impacts of integration of coal mining and electricity generation on regional environment in the Xilingol League. Using SO sub(2) and per-capita GDP as environmental and economic indicators, respectively, the correlation between local environmental health and economic development was studied. Based on a material balance method and exponential growth model, we analyzed the correlation of SO sub(2) emissions and per capita GDP from 2001 to 2009 in the Xilingol League. We found that the relation between them followed the rule of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC), with the flex point appearing at 35000-40000 RMB of per capita GDP. At that point the amount of SO sub(2) emissions passed the flex point and declined slowly. Prediction of regional SO sub(2) emissions and per capita GDP under the scenario of integration of coal mining and electricity generation in the Xilingol League showed that SO sub(2) emissions would increase with economic development from 2012 to 2020, which suggests that the flex point of the Environmental Kuznets Curve would occur several years later and