Combination of radiograph-based trabecular and geometrical parameters can discriminate cervical hip fractures from controls in individuals with BMD in non-osteoporotic range

Abstract Majority of hip fractures occur in individuals with bone mineral density (BMD) in non-osteoporotic range. This suggests that factors other than BMD are associated with increased fracture risk in these individuals. The aim of this study was to investigate the combined ability of radiograph-based trabecular and geometrical parameters to discriminate cervical hip fractures from controls in individuals with non-osteoporotic BMD. A total of 39 postmenopausal females with non-pathologic cervical hip fracture were recruited to the study. Nineteen of the fracture patients (48.7%) had non-osteoporotic BMD and they constituted the fracture group. The control group consisted of 35 BMD-matched non-osteoporotic females. Several geometrical and trabecular parameters were extracted from plain pelvic radiographs, and their combined ability to discriminate fracture patients from controls was studied using a receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis. Significant differences in several radiograph-based geometrical and trabecular parameters were found between the fracture patients and controls, whereas no statistically significant difference in BMD was observed (p = 0.92) between the groups. Area under the ROC curve was 0.993 (95% CI 0.977–1.008) for the combined multiple regression model, which included both trabecular and geometrical parameters as explanatory factors. Here, the sensitivity of 100% was achieved with the specificity of 94%. In a cross-validation of the model, 94.4% of the fracture patients, and 94.1% of the controls were classified correctly. The combination of radiograph-based trabecular and geometrical parameters was able to discriminate the cervical hip fracture cases from controls with similar BMD, showing that the method can provide additional information on bone structure and fracture risk beyond BMD.