On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor
Results of applying the method developed for early warning about arrival of ∼10–100-MeV proton fluxes to the Earth after powerful eruptive events on the Sun, which uses the real time observable data received by the global network of ground-based neutron monitors (Mavromichalaki et al., 2009), are di...
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Veröffentlicht in: | Solar system research 2011-08, Vol.45 (4), p.354-364 |
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creator | Veselovskii, I. S. Yakovchuk, O. S. |
description | Results of applying the method developed for early warning about arrival of ∼10–100-MeV proton fluxes to the Earth after powerful eruptive events on the Sun, which uses the real time observable data received by the global network of ground-based neutron monitors (Mavromichalaki et al., 2009), are discussed. The retrospective analysis and comparison to the 2001–2006 observations indicate that more than 50% of solar proton events were omitted in such a forecasting method. For higher reliability, it is necessary to use additional data on the state of solar and heliospheric activity. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1134/S0038094611040095 |
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subjects | Astronomy Astrophysics and Astroparticles Astrophysics and Cosmology Fluxes Forecasting Monitors Networks Observations and Techniques Physics Physics and Astronomy Planetology Protons Real time Solar protons Sun Warning |
title | On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor |
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