On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor

Results of applying the method developed for early warning about arrival of ∼10–100-MeV proton fluxes to the Earth after powerful eruptive events on the Sun, which uses the real time observable data received by the global network of ground-based neutron monitors (Mavromichalaki et al., 2009), are di...

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Veröffentlicht in:Solar system research 2011-08, Vol.45 (4), p.354-364
Hauptverfasser: Veselovskii, I. S., Yakovchuk, O. S.
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description Results of applying the method developed for early warning about arrival of ∼10–100-MeV proton fluxes to the Earth after powerful eruptive events on the Sun, which uses the real time observable data received by the global network of ground-based neutron monitors (Mavromichalaki et al., 2009), are discussed. The retrospective analysis and comparison to the 2001–2006 observations indicate that more than 50% of solar proton events were omitted in such a forecasting method. For higher reliability, it is necessary to use additional data on the state of solar and heliospheric activity.
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subjects Astronomy
Astrophysics and Astroparticles
Astrophysics and Cosmology
Fluxes
Forecasting
Monitors
Networks
Observations and Techniques
Physics
Physics and Astronomy
Planetology
Protons
Real time
Solar protons
Sun
Warning
title On forecasting solar proton events using a ground-based neutron monitor
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