Solar Particle Events and Self-Organized Criticality: Are Deterministic Predictions of Events Possible?

Solar Particle Events and Self-Organized Criticality: Are Deterministic Predictions of Events Possible?

Evidence is presented that solar particle events are a self-organized critical phenomenon. Using daily and monthly fluences of solar protons measured by the IMP-8 and GOES satellite instrumentation over a 28-year period, long-term correlation of events, fractal characteristics and power function beh...

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Veröffentlicht in:IEEE transactions on nuclear science 2006-08, Vol.53 (4), p.1839-1843
Hauptverfasser: Xapsos, M.A., Stauffer, C., Barth, J.L., Burke, E.A.
Format: Artikel
Sprache:eng
Schlagworte:
Density
Density functional theory
Density measurement
Fluence
Fractal
Fractal analysis
Fractals
GOES satellites
Instrumentation
Instruments
NASA
Observatories
Power measurement
Protons
rescaled range
Satellites
self-organized criticality
solar particle event
Solar power generation
Solar protons
Space technology
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Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Evidence is presented that solar particle events are a self-organized critical phenomenon. Using daily and monthly fluences of solar protons measured by the IMP-8 and GOES satellite instrumentation over a 28-year period, long-term correlation of events, fractal characteristics and power function behavior for the density functions of fluence magnitudes and waiting times are demonstrated. The implications are that it is not possible to predict the time of occurrence and magnitude of solar particle events within narrow limits
ISSN:0018-9499
1558-1578
DOI:10.1109/TNS.2006.880576