Cardiac Dysfunction and Noncardiac Dysfunction as Precursors of Heart Failure With Reduced and Preserved Ejection Fraction in the Community

Heart failure (HF) is a clinical syndrome characterized by signs and symptoms involving multiple organ systems. Longitudinal data demonstrating that asymptomatic cardiac dysfunction precedes overt HF are scarce, and the contribution of noncardiac dysfunction to HF progression is unclear. We hypothesized that subclinical cardiac and noncardiac organ dysfunction would accelerate the manifestation of HF. We studied 1038 participants of the Framingham Heart Study original cohort (mean age, 76±5 years; 39% men) with routine assessment of left ventricular systolic and diastolic function. Major noncardiac organ systems were assessed with the use of serum creatinine (renal), serum albumin (hepatic), ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 second to forced vital capacity (FEV(1):FVC ratio; pulmonary), hemoglobin concentration (hematologic/oxygen-carrying capacity), and white blood cell count (systemic inflammation). On follow-up (mean, 11 years), there were 248 incident HF events (146 in women). After adjustment for established HF risk factors, antecedent left ventricular systolic dysfunction (hazard ratio, 2.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.43 to 3.78) and diastolic dysfunction (hazard ratio, 1.32; 95% confidence interval, 1.01 to 1.71) were associated with increased HF risk. After adjustment for cardiac dysfunction, higher serum creatinine, lower FEV1:FVC ratios, and lower hemoglobin concentrations were associated with increased HF risk (all P