Mild and moderate aortic stenosis: Natural history and risk stratification by echocardiography

To define the natural history and predictors of outcome in mild and moderate aortic stenosis (AS). One hundred and seventy-six consecutive asymptomatic patients (73 women, age 58+/-19 years) with mild to moderate AS (jet velocity 2.5 to 3.9m/s) were followed for 48+/-19 months. Haemodynamic progress...

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Veröffentlicht in:European heart journal 2004-02, Vol.25 (3), p.199-205
Hauptverfasser: ROSENHEK, Raphael, KLAAR, Ursula, SCHEMPER, Michael, SCHOLTEN, Christine, HEGER, Maria, GABRIEL, Harald, BINDER, Thomas, MAURER, Gerald, BAUMGARTNER, Helmut
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container_end_page 205
container_issue 3
container_start_page 199
container_title European heart journal
container_volume 25
creator ROSENHEK, Raphael
KLAAR, Ursula
SCHEMPER, Michael
SCHOLTEN, Christine
HEGER, Maria
GABRIEL, Harald
BINDER, Thomas
MAURER, Gerald
BAUMGARTNER, Helmut
description To define the natural history and predictors of outcome in mild and moderate aortic stenosis (AS). One hundred and seventy-six consecutive asymptomatic patients (73 women, age 58+/-19 years) with mild to moderate AS (jet velocity 2.5 to 3.9m/s) were followed for 48+/-19 months. Haemodynamic progression and clinical outcome was analysed. Event-free survival with end-points defined as death (n=34) or aortic valve surgery (n=33), was 95+/-2%, 75+/-3% and 60+/-5% at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. Both, cardiac and non-cardiac mortality were significantly increased, resulting in a 1.8 times higher mortality than expected (P
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.ehj.2003.12.002
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One hundred and seventy-six consecutive asymptomatic patients (73 women, age 58+/-19 years) with mild to moderate AS (jet velocity 2.5 to 3.9m/s) were followed for 48+/-19 months. Haemodynamic progression and clinical outcome was analysed. Event-free survival with end-points defined as death (n=34) or aortic valve surgery (n=33), was 95+/-2%, 75+/-3% and 60+/-5% at 1, 3 and 5 years, respectively. Both, cardiac and non-cardiac mortality were significantly increased, resulting in a 1.8 times higher mortality than expected (P&lt;0.005). By multivariate analysis, moderate to severe aortic valve calcification, coronary artery disease (CAD) and peak jet velocity were independent predictors of outcome. Event-free survival for patients with moderate or severe valve calcification was 92+/-4%, 61+/-7% and 42+/-7% at 1, 3 and 5 years versus 100%, 90+/-4% and 82+/-5% for patients with no or mild calcification. Patients with calcified aortic valves, CAD or with an event had a significantly faster haemodynamic progression. Of 129 patients with a follow-up echocardiographic exam, 59 (46%) developed severe stenosis during follow-up. Outcome of mild and moderate AS is worse than commonly assumed. Rapid progression and excess mortality have to be considered. Significant valve calcification, CAD and rapid progression of aortic jet velocity indicate poor outcome. 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Patients with calcified aortic valves, CAD or with an event had a significantly faster haemodynamic progression. Of 129 patients with a follow-up echocardiographic exam, 59 (46%) developed severe stenosis during follow-up. Outcome of mild and moderate AS is worse than commonly assumed. Rapid progression and excess mortality have to be considered. Significant valve calcification, CAD and rapid progression of aortic jet velocity indicate poor outcome. Patients with these characteristics may require closer follow-up than generally assumed.</description><subject>Aged</subject><subject>Aortic Valve Stenosis - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Aortic Valve Stenosis - etiology</subject><subject>Aortic Valve Stenosis - mortality</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Blood Flow Velocity - physiology</subject><subject>Calcinosis - diagnostic imaging</subject><subject>Calcinosis - etiology</subject><subject>Calcinosis - mortality</subject><subject>Cardiology. 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Vascular system</topic><topic>Coronary Artery Disease - diagnostic imaging</topic><topic>Coronary Artery Disease - etiology</topic><topic>Coronary Artery Disease - mortality</topic><topic>Death, Sudden, Cardiac - etiology</topic><topic>Disease-Free Survival</topic><topic>Echocardiography</topic><topic>Echocardiography, Doppler</topic><topic>Endocardial and cardiac valvular diseases</topic><topic>Epidemiologic Methods</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Heart</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical sciences</topic><topic>Multivariate Analysis</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>ROSENHEK, Raphael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>KLAAR, Ursula</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>SCHEMPER, Michael</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>SCHOLTEN, Christine</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>HEGER, Maria</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>GABRIEL, Harald</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>BINDER, Thomas</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>MAURER, Gerald</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>BAUMGARTNER, Helmut</creatorcontrib><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Calcium &amp; Calcified Tissue Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>European heart journal</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>ROSENHEK, Raphael</au><au>KLAAR, Ursula</au><au>SCHEMPER, Michael</au><au>SCHOLTEN, Christine</au><au>HEGER, Maria</au><au>GABRIEL, Harald</au><au>BINDER, Thomas</au><au>MAURER, Gerald</au><au>BAUMGARTNER, Helmut</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Mild and moderate aortic stenosis: Natural history and risk stratification by echocardiography</atitle><jtitle>European heart journal</jtitle><addtitle>Eur Heart J</addtitle><date>2004-02-01</date><risdate>2004</risdate><volume>25</volume><issue>3</issue><spage>199</spage><epage>205</epage><pages>199-205</pages><issn>0195-668X</issn><eissn>1522-9645</eissn><abstract>To define the natural history and predictors of outcome in mild and moderate aortic stenosis (AS). 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source Oxford University Press Journals All Titles (1996-Current); MEDLINE; Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek - Frei zugängliche E-Journals
subjects Aged
Aortic Valve Stenosis - diagnostic imaging
Aortic Valve Stenosis - etiology
Aortic Valve Stenosis - mortality
Biological and medical sciences
Blood Flow Velocity - physiology
Calcinosis - diagnostic imaging
Calcinosis - etiology
Calcinosis - mortality
Cardiology. Vascular system
Coronary Artery Disease - diagnostic imaging
Coronary Artery Disease - etiology
Coronary Artery Disease - mortality
Death, Sudden, Cardiac - etiology
Disease-Free Survival
Echocardiography
Echocardiography, Doppler
Endocardial and cardiac valvular diseases
Epidemiologic Methods
Female
Heart
Humans
Male
Medical sciences
Multivariate Analysis
Prognosis
title Mild and moderate aortic stenosis: Natural history and risk stratification by echocardiography
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