Umbilical artery blood velocity waveform analysis in predicting the small-for-dates fetus

Doppler umbilical artery blood velocity waveforms were recorded longitudinally in 78 randomly selected pregnancies. The waveform maximal (A) to minimal (B) Doppler shift frequency ratios were determined to provide a semi-quantitative measure of impedance to blood flow in the fetoplacental circulation. Fifty-eight of these pregnancies and their outcomes were normal. The A B ratios from this normal group were used to derive a normal range of this index throughout the second half of pregnancy. A further 45 pregnancies, also randomly selected, were studied once within 2 weeks of delivery. Using those measurements, plus those from the longitudinal groups sampled within 2 weeks of delivery, the predictive values of the A B ratio in detecting the small for gestational age fetus have been derived. The sensitivity of the umbilical artery A B ratio in predicting a small for gestational age infant within 2 weeks of delivery was 58% with a specificity of 94%. The positive test predictive value was 69% with a negative test predictive value of 90%. These predictive values are lower than those previously published, probably because high-risk pregnancies were over-represented in earlier studies. Waveform analysis within 2 weeks of delivery did, however, appear to identify fetuses destined to develop a range of perinatal problems. Large prospective studies are needed before the predictive value of Doppler waveform analysis is clarified.