SPATIAL PARTITIONING USING MULTIVARIATE CLUSTER ANALYSIS AND A CONTIGUITY ALGORITHM

Spatial analysis of epidemiological data can be a useful tool for identifying patterns of disease occurrence and can provide substantial support for prevention and control strategies. To obtain the greatest spatial resolution, it is important to use the smallest available areal units with homogeneous population. However, small areas usually have a small population, introducing spurious variability in the chosen indicators of disease occurrence. This paper describes an approach for combining small geographical units to stabilize mortality rates by pooling information across areas according to specified risk profiles. The procedure is based on a principal component analysis, followed by a cluster analysis of social‐economic indicators to classify the risk profile of each small area. The classification is used in an algorithm to join neighbouring areas with similar profiles until an estimated population size is achieved. We applied this method to two Administrative Regions of the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, using the census tracts as the basic areal unit. Census tracts were classified according to four socioeconomic categories distributed spatially as a mosaic, where tracts of differing categories neighbour each other. The aggregation algorithm produced a new partition of the region studied, with the created areal units preserving the internal socioeconomic homogeneity.