Recharge Through a Regional Till Aquitard: Three-Dimensional Flow Model Water Balance Approach

In southern Ontario, vertical leakage through a regionally extensive till is the primary source of recharge to underlying aquifers used for domestic and municipal water supply. Since leakage is largely controlled by the bulk hydraulic conductivity (K) of the aquitard, accurate estimates of K are necessary to quantify the resource. Considerable controversy exists regarding estimates of K for this aquitard, which vary according to the scale of the test method. For the till matrix, estimates from core samples and slug tests consistently range from 10−11 to 10−10 m/s. Isotopic evidence (3H), on the other hand, indicates that nonmatrix structures such as sand lenses, erosional surfaces, joints, and fractures significantly enhance till permeability. This is confirmed by slug test, pump test, recharge, and water balance studies, which show that K varies over seven orders of magnitude (10−12 to 10−5 m/s). To provide a regional estimate of bulk K and a reliable estimate of vertical recharge through the Northern Till, a numerical ground water flow model was constructed for the Duffins and Petticoat Creek drainage hasin. The model was calibrated to measurements of hydraulic head and estimates and measurements of base flow throughout the basin. This model demonstrates that the vertical hydraulic conductivity (Kv) for the Northern Till ranges from 5 × 10−10 to 5 × 10−9 m/s, values that are up to 2.5 orders of magnitude greater than matrix K estimates. Regional recharge through the Northern Till is estimated to range from 30 to 35 mm/a.