Trends in the relative frequency of histologically diagnosed epithelial dysplasia and intra-oral carcinoma in Northern Ireland, 1975-1989

Trends in the incidence of histologically diagnosed dysplastic lesions of the intra-oral mucosa have been investigated for the period 1975-89 in a well defined population of 1.5 million. These have been contrasted and compared with trends in the incidence of intra-oral carcinoma. Cases were ascertained from the records of all the histopathology laboratories that serve the Northern Ireland population. Over the 15-year period, there were 135 cases of histologically diagnosed epithelial dysplasia. In contrast to the significant increase in the incidence of intra-oral carcinoma, there was no significant change in the annual age standardised incidence of dysplastic lesions over the period. The ratio of malignant to dysplastic diagnoses rose from 2.5:1 to 5.4:1. Only 24 of the dysplastic lesions were known to have subsequently progressed to malignant carcinoma, representing 4.5% of all invasive tumours diagnosed during 1975-89. The results highlight a number of unresolved issues regarding the natural history of intra-oral carcinoma