Vancomycin pharmacokinetics and bayesian estimation in pediatric patients

The vancomycin pharmacokinetic profile was characterized in six pediatric patients and the potential of nonlinear mixed effects modeling and Bayesian forecasting for vancomycin monitoring was explored using NONMEM V (1.1). Based on steady state serial vancomycin concentrations, the estimates of mean t1/2, Vd, and Cl derived by the Sawchuk and Zaske method (1) were 3.52 hours, 0.57 L/kg, and 0.12 L/h per kg, respectively. NONMEM analysis demonstrated that a weight-adjusted two-compartment model described individual patients' data better than a comparable one-compartment model. The two-compartment estimates of mean t1/2alpha, t1/2beta, Vss, and Cl were 0.80 hour, 5.63 hours, 0.63 L/kg, and 0.11 L/h per kg, respectively. The relatively long mean t1/2alpha suggests that peak vancomycin concentrations measured earlier than 4 hours postdose do not reflect postdistributional serum concentrations. NONMEM population modeling revealed that a weight-adjusted two-compartment model provided a better fit than a comparable one-compartment model. The resulting population parameters and variances were fixed in NONMEM to obtain Bayesian predictions of individual vancomycin serum concentrations. Bayesian estimation with either a single midinterval or trough sample has the potential to provide accurate and precise predictions of vancomycin concentrations. This should be evaluated using a vancomycin population pharmacokinetic model based on a larger sample of pediatric patients.