Factors associated with local breast cancer recurrence after lumpectomy alone: postmenopausal patients

We have been following a cohort of patients who underwent a lumpectomy without receiving adjuvant radiotherapy or adjuvant systemic therapy. We now report the experience of a postmenopausal subgroup. The postmenopausal subgroup included 244 patients accrued between 1977 and 1986 and followed up. The end point was ipsilateral local breast cancer recurrence. The factors studied were the patient's age in years; tumor size (in mm); nodal status (N-, Nx, N+); estrogen and progesterone receptor status (< 10, - 10 fmol/mg protein); presence or absence of lymphovascular/perineural invasion; presence or absence, and type, of DCIS (none, non-comedo, comedo); percentage of DCIS; histological grade (1,2,3); and nuclear grade (1,2,3). Univariate analyses consisted of Kaplan-Meier plots and the Wilcoxon (Peto-Prentice) test statistic; the multivariate analyses were step-wise Cox and log-normal regressions. The median follow-up of those patients still alive was 9.1 years, and the overall relapse rate was 24% (59/244). The univariate results indicated that the characteristics of smaller tumor size, negative nodes, positive ER status, and no lymphovascular or perineural invasion were associated with significantly (P