Serial brain MRI at 3-6 month intervals as a surrogate marker for Alzheimer's disease

A surrogate marker is needed for Alzheimer's disease (AD) both to aid diagnosis and to assess interventions. Despite widespread use, brain imaging markers have largely been confounded by overlap with "normal" ageing. 39 elderly subjects completed up to four serial volumetric brain MRI scans with intervals from 2.5 months to 7 months. By National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke (NINCDS) criteria, five subjects had probable AD, two possible AD and 32 were negative for AD, although this group included memory-impaired subjects. Total brain and ventricular volumes were measured for each scan, and rates of change for each interval calculated. The rate of change in ventricle-to-brain ratio was 15.6% per year (standard deviation (SD) 2.8%) for probable AD compared with 4.3% per year (SD 1.1%) for negative AD (p