The presence of more than two index adenomas is the strongest predictor of metachronous colon adenomas

To assess whether patient or adenoma characteristics at index colonoscopy could be predictors of metachronous adenomas and of advanced metachronous adenomas at first surveillance colonoscopy. This retrospective study evaluated polypectomies of 372 adenomas in 214 patients who underwent a first follow-up colonoscopy after a median of 17 months. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association of baseline patient and adenoma characteristics with the development of any metachronous adenomas and of advanced adenomas (>1.0 cm, or villous component, or severe dysplasia, or early cancer). Eighty-one patients (38%) demonstrated 130 metachronous adenomas including 21 cases (10%) with advanced adenomas. The presence of more than 2 baseline adenomas was significantly associated with the finding of adenomas at follow-up (odds ratio 2.44, 95% confidence interval 1.27-4.68, p = 0.010). Patient age (>or= 60 versus 1.0 cm versus